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Will Putin Invade Ukraine?

Started by Cassia, January 20, 2022, 01:29:34 PM

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Hydra009

Tank slayer: Ukrainian soldier personally destroyed 5 tanks in one day

He also destroyed 3 armored transports.  Supporting artillery destroyed 4 more of them.

Hydra009

In Russia, a military transport plane (Il-76) exploded, killing one and wounding others

The Ukrainian account is slightly more detailed than the short Reuters blurb, and contains this fascinating quote: "the deceased received injuries incompatible with life" (bear in mind that this is google translated)

Hydra009

A popular site for consumer drones used by Russia in its war of aggression has just blacklisted Russians from further drone purchases and reduced the functionality of previously purchased drones

So potentially, there are a few very unhappy drone operators in Donbas right now.



Hydra009

Russian combat deaths in Ukraine surpass all Russia's previous wars since WWII combined

QuoteRussia likely suffered more combat fatalities in Ukraine in the first year of the war than in all of its wars since World War II combined, including the Soviet and Russian wars in Afghanistan and Chechnya.

QuoteThe average rate of Russian regular and irregular soldiers killed per month in Ukraine over the first year of the war was at least 25 times the number killed per month in Russia's war in Chechnya and at least 35 times the number killed per month in the Soviet Union's war in Afghanistan.
25x Chechnya and 35x Afghanistan.  And Afghanistan was famously dubbed "the graveyard of empires"!  Then Ukraine must be the wood-chipper of empires.

Dark Lightning

Sick to say, but I hope that the invaders continue to get shredded and that Ukraine ends up the victor...and collects reparations. Won't bring back the dead or displaced, though.

Hydra009

Every defeat puts future invasion plans on hold for longer and longer.  And by now, it'll be a long, long time before Russia can credibly menace its neighbors again.

And with tank losses around 10 times the replacement rate, a year in Ukraine sets them back about a decade.  I couldn't even begin to come up with a similar calculation for elite units.

If this continues much longer, Russia will be in the same boat as the North Koreans - nuclear saber-rattling to make up for a lack of conventional power.

Hydra009

Mobiks from Irkutsk describe being woefully unprepared, appeal to Putin for help, ignored and then thrown into an even more dangerous assault

Quote"[We are] in close proximity to the front line without any training, equipment or support. Initially we were prepared as a territorial defence unit, but in fact we were thrown in as an assault group. We have already lost 19 wounded and two dead within two days.

QuoteWe are not receiving any pay, we eat and buy water at our own expense, we live in completely unsanitary conditions, we are treated by our own forces [for injuries?] at our own expense, they equipped us only with bulletproof vests of class four and a B2 helmet

QuoteThe men also sent a written appeal to Putin and the Russian military prosecutor's office. In it, they wrote that their commanders were threatening them with death for refusing to follow orders, and that DNR troops were refusing to evacuate the wounded because "they are afraid of losing their equipment."

Quote"When we are unable to carry out orders, death threats are received. As an example, they say: "You will be treated as a deserter, you will get in trouble with the commandant's office and the military police, we will disband you two by two and send you on an offensive from which you will not return."

Quotedespite all the appeals the men were sent into yet another likely failed assault

Hydra009

Moscow Wants Serbia's Explanation over "Thousands of Rockets" to Ukraine

Apparently, the rockets traveled from Serbia to Turkey to Slovakia and then mysteriously found themselves in Ukraine

The likely explanation:


Hydra009

Russia: we might invade from Belarus again

Ukraine: dare you to try

Cassia

Hahaha, Russian joke of a diplomat