Will Putin Invade Ukraine?

[Hydra009]

Red on red: the Russians reportedly wiped out one of their own infantry squads, mistakenly believing they were Ukrainians or perhaps anti-Putin Russians.

This happened on April 21st near Ocheretino in Donetsk Oblast (Eastern Ukraine)  First reported on Russian telegram as a victory against pro-Ukraine forces, this was later updated with the explanation that there had been a "monstrous mistake" with accompanying video showing the dead soldiers and their Russian ID, IDs which identified them as part of the 30th separate motorized rifle brigade.  Oopsie.

[Unbeliever]

Couldn't have happened to more deserving guys.

[Hydra009]

In similar just desserts, Kadryrov may be seriously ill with some sort of pancreatic disease

Speculation on his health is not new, there was a lot of speculation on his health last year, and reports spread like wildfire on telegram that his health had rapidly declined, leaving him in a coma (last year, he made a video to declare that he was very much alive and in good health, being filmed awkwardly and slowly jog-walking down a footpath.  I'll give him this - he definitely proved that he was alive)

What's different this time is that a fairly reputable newspaper is saying it, citing the doctors in his hospital and people close to him.  Also, his visit to the hospital - allegedly to visit a sick uncle - is now alleged to have been a false pretense and that he was actually visiting the hospital as a patient, not a visitor.

Additionally - and this raises more red flags for me than a Beijing parade - is that a recent video of his shows him at a meeting where he "sits almost motionless at the table and speaks only slowly and apparently with difficulty"

Again, I want to stress that this could again be nothing, but it's looking more and more likely that something is seriously wrong.