Will Putin Invade Ukraine?

[Hydra009]

Desperate russian forces turn to forced mobilization...with underwhelming results.

Russia's decision to force individuals into service is "highly unlikely to generate meaningful combat power and will exacerbate low morale and poor discipline in Russian and proxy units."

The ISW also reported that a military regiment of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic (DNR) posted a video on Thursday in which "forcibly mobilized" soldiers complained to Putin about how they have spent the war on the front line in the Kherson region without proper food or medicine.

Ukraine's Main Directorate of Intelligence had released an intercepted phone conversation that allegedly revealed DNR soldiers complaining about "physically unfit individuals" among their ranks. It also reported that DNR soldiers said mobilized units had been experiencing "mass drunkenness and general disorder."

So low-quality that it might actually be more of a burden than asset.  But Russian command recycles strats regardless.

[Hydra009]

Copium gas poisoning advisory: 



Symptoms include:
* Delusional thoughts
* Disordered speech patterns
* Unusally high levels of grammar/spelling mistakes

[SGOS]

How many Russians will believe that last one?

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Russia loses at least 1k troops in Sievierodonetsk, possibly 2k losses

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Catching some Zs, smores edition:

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Unconfirmed reports that Ukrainian forces have recaptured Sievierodonetsk.

Russia put their all in capturing that, going on the defensive basically everywhere else.  This isn't looking like it's going to be a victory for Russia.  Not even a pyrrhic victory.  This very well might be a defeat.

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Mysterious fire in Russia engulfs regional parliament building

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Spain to send Leopard tanks and anti-aircraft missiles

I haven't posted a lot of "Country Y donates X" news lately but this one caught my attention because until now, Spain hasn't sent heavy equipment to Ukraine afaik.  And now they're sending their modernized main battle tank.

It highlights widespread goodwill towards Ukraine and material commitments all over Europe to safeguard this country from Russian aggression.

[Hydra009]

Institute of War assessment, June 4th

Haidai noted that Russian forces wrongfully believe in their own successes, enabling Ukrainian defenders to inflict high losses against unsuspecting Chechen units.

And the Russians could try another opposed river crossing, and you know how those go...

The Russian military has concentrated all of its available resources on this single battle to make only modest gains.

The Ukrainian government and military are furthermore discussing the battle of Severodonetsk in increasingly confident terms and are likely successfully blunting the Russian military's major commitment of reserves to the grinding battle for the city.

Love it.

[Hydra009]

[Hydra009]

The brand new *scoffs* t-62s are adopting a familiar tactic - cope cages.



But unlike sheet metal or wooden logs or BBQ grills (three guesses on what gets barbequed), they're going for what appear to be wooden gazebos on top. An excellent defense against the rangers of Gondor and possibly even Legolas.  *supressed laughter*

Recommended by two out of three little pigs.  *unsuccessfully supressed laughter*

In seriousness, cope cages are a horrible idea as explained by a russian soldier who put one on and later removed it.

[Hydra009]

Another Russian general killed in Ukraine

That's thirteen.

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Literal translation: between the hammer and the anvil

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On Russian state tv, they use a psychic to "work on Zelensky's vibrational frequency", which is apparently similar to Biden's lol.

This is the Russian equivalent of a televangelist "casting out" covid.

[Hydra009]

Russian combat power reportedly on the decline

Losses have forced Russia to send "degraded" units to areas of fierce fighting.