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Will Putin Invade Ukraine?

Started by Cassia, January 20, 2022, 01:29:34 PM

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Hydra009

With the onset of winter, armies must adjust to changing conditions:



Hmmm...which side has better access to night vision and winter uniforms?  And the willingness/capability to perform regular equipment maintenance?

Imho, winter generally favors the Ukrainians, who are receiving the gear to weather low temps (the russians, in contrast, reported frostbite early in the war) though launching offensives causes more problems for the attacker than defender.  We'll see.

Hydra009

#1666
By the truckload:  Ukrainian strike levels building where up to 500 Russian forces were hiding.  We don't know the exact number killed, but we do know they removed 2 truckloads of bodies from the building, so I'd say they killed a lot.  🌻🌻🌻

This happened near Dnipriany, which is just south of the Dnieper river, near Nova Kakhovka (where most Russian forces evacuated to after abandoning their positions north of the Dnieper)

Hydra009

Ukrainian 92nd captures 21 Russian soldiers

The Russian soldiers are middle aged, received 11 days of training, were abandoned by their commanders (a running theme), went without food or water for 3 days, and were even exchanging fire with friendly forces (not accidental)

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian forces who captured them are well trained and supplied and have high morale.

This sort of lopsided matchup seems to be increasingly common.

Russian troops are in for a cold, cold winter.  In contrast, the surrendering troops will be enjoying hot meals and warm cots indoors.

Hydra009



Zelenskyy has been in Kherson city to address the people and lift spirits (and for delicious watermelon 🍉)

Meanwhile, Putin has been in hiding in his Fuhrerbunker or wherever.  No one really cares where he is, only if he is alive or dead so the festivities may begin.

Such is the difference between democratically-elected leaders and dictators.

Cassia

Quote from: Hydra009 on November 14, 2022, 03:57:05 PMSuch is the difference between democratically-elected leaders and dictators.
To paraphrase a great poem....And that makes all the difference...

Hydra009



"How dare you reclaim what I've rightfully stolen!"

ferdmonger

The poor conscripts without winter gear are going to suffer badly.  Those with winter gear are going to suffer.

Dark Lightning

I just had a really morbid thought. What if the soil in Ukraine is so rich because of all the bodies buried there? It's been a killing field fought over, many times. I have seen where the pollution from all this advanced warfare is actually going to present a threat to the soil in the region in future. Megalomaniacs present an enduring legacy of ills.

sarc Used to be a guy could just kill someone and bury them, no prob, no pollution. /sarc

Shiranu

A very nice, abridged selection of the amazing history of Ukraine's Jewish population and proof against misinformation portraying Ukraine as being a hostile country towards it's Jewish population - in terms of European countries, it was one of if not the safest historically however.

Also, this guy is just a wonderful historian to listen to.

"A little science distances you from God, but a lot of science brings you nearer to Him." - Louis Pasteur

Hydra009

The UN calls for Russia to make reparations to Ukraine

Nonbinding, but sets the legal framework for further demands for Russian reparations down the road.

Personally, I have little doubt that at the end of this war, Russia will owe reparations.  Whether or not they will pay promptly is another matter.

Hydra009

Russia has launched another missile barrage, this time during the G20 G19 conference

Such attacks are often undertaken as a face-saving measure after a major defeat to make it seem like they're more formidable than they truly are, but this is a truly brazen display of barbarity as other nations try to reach out and deal with common problems.  One such problem looms large in everyone's minds.

the_antithesis

Quote from: Hydra009 on November 15, 2022, 10:20:59 AMThe UN calls for Russia to make reparations to Ukraine

Nonbinding, but sets the legal framework for further demands for Russian reparations down the road.

Personally, I have little doubt that at the end of this war, Russia will owe reparations.  Whether or not they will pay promptly is another matter.

Never, ever, ever sue poor people.

Hydra009

Quote from: the_antithesis on November 15, 2022, 10:32:57 AMNever, ever, ever sue poor people.
Putin and his oligarchs are far from poor.  In fact, they are a big part of the reason the rest of Russia is poor.

Hydra009

#1678
Two Russian missiles just hit Poland, killing two people.



At the very least, this is a plausible casus belli for Poland and a severe diplomatic incident with the West.

Hydra009

Poland considering Article 4 activation

This would bring it before NATO members to decide a joint course of action.

In other words, the first step to Finding Out in response to an adversarial nation Fucking Around.