The final push DEMS GET OUT AND VOTE!

[Baruch]

Athena - So in 2008, did you celebrate by eating Kenyan food ;-)

Mermaid - Yes, McCain was merely senile, I do think Rmoney is genuinely evil.

[Hydra009]

http://yourfuckingpollingplace.com/ (legit site, I swear)

[SGOS]

http://yourfuckingpollingplace.com/ (legit site, I swear)

Thanks, that was helpful.

[Cavebear]

The numbers on 538 seem to have come to a standstill, hovering around 66-67% for the last 2 days. That's a good sign that the post-Comey precipitous drop has stopped. I hope. Time will tell, of course. I'm hoping for a reversal, and I'm heartened by reports of large early voter turnouts. Plus I heard a report that Clinton's approval ratings have risen in the last few days (probably because she's handling the slings and arrows with such class).

Also, the more intelligent of the conservative Republicans I know (yes, there are a few, believe it or not) are quite confident that Hillary will win. The dumber ones just say "Trump will win! Yeah! Emails! Murrika! Benghazeeee! Trump!"

Turns out, from what I've read, that of all the aggregators, 538 is the most pessimistic (from Hillary supporters' perspective) because Silver uses a more conservative model than he did in 2012, probably because he got burned earlier by predicting Trump wouldn't be the Puber nominee. The Upshot (New York Times) has her at 84%, Daily Kos at 91%, and Sam Wang (also an outlier) at 98 or 99% depending on the two systems he uses.

I'm still worried, of course, but less so at this particular moment.

Here's hoping I'll be able to eat my traditional presidential victory dinner on Wednesday. (Once every four years I go to the same restaurant to celebrate if my presidential candidate wins. I started this tradition in 2008.) Crossing my fingers!!!

Some normally accurate predictors have Clinton "likely to win" from 99% to 66%.  British oddsmakers say 85% likely Clinton.  85% seems about right to me. 

[SGOS]

By 85% in the popular vote or the electoral college?  Either way, that seems high to me, even if were talking electoral college.

[AllPurposeAtheist]

I heard Trumpster fire babbling on about how much it's rigged because people who were already in line to vote were still allowed to vote.  Don't you know that all of them were bussed in from Syrian refugee camps? 

[Baruch]

A People that select corrupt politicans are not victims but accomplices - George Orwell.

[Atheon]

A People that select corrupt politicans are not victims but accomplices - George Orwell.

Which is why I'm voting (voted, actually) for the candidate who isn't corrupt. Go Hillary!

FBI Completes Review of Newly Revealed Hillary Clinton Emails, Finds No Evidence of Criminality

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/fbi-completes-review-newly-revealed-hillary-clinton-emails-finds-no-n678701?cid=sm_fb

[Baruch]

But as an atheist, how will you feel when the Kos-saks meet in conclave, and elect her Pope? ;-)  Or better yet, the Virgin Mary?

[Mike Cl]

But as an atheist, how will you feel when the Kos-saks meet in conclave, and elect her Pope? ;-)  Or better yet, the Virgin Mary?

I will feel just fine--and you???

[Baruch]

I will feel just fine--and you???

You have been drinking too much.  Sleep it off ;-)

[Atheon]

By 85% in the popular vote or the electoral college?  Either way, that seems high to me, even if were talking electoral college.

85% probability of winning the presidency.

Nate Silver has 65%. The Upshot has 84%. David Nir has 87%. Sam Wang of PEC has 99%. Both Nate Silver and Sam Wang are outliers; I think Sam Wang's is ridiculously optimistic.

[Mike Cl]

You have been drinking too much.  Sleep it off ;-)

Nope, no drinking.  Just relishing the landslide that HRC will enjoy in a bit. :)))

[Atheon]

Nope, no drinking.  Just relishing the landslide that HRC will enjoy in a bit. :)))

I'm not counting my chickens. I'm optimistic, but nervous. New Hampshire is critical. Nevada seems promising. Florid and North Carolina would be great, and Ohio would be the icing on the cake.

I'm hoping for massive turnouts. Judging by the early voting, it looks promising. But you never know, and it ain't over till Brunnhilda sings.

[SGOS]

85% probability of winning the presidency.

Nate Silver has 65%. The Upshot has 84%. David Nir has 87%. Sam Wang of PEC has 99%. Both Nate Silver and Sam Wang are outliers; I think Sam Wang's is ridiculously optimistic.

OK, I got confused.  Was I thinking winning by 85% points.  Not sure.  That would be absurd.  But 85% chance of winning could mean just winning by 2% points.