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Will Putin Invade Ukraine?

Started by Cassia, January 20, 2022, 01:29:34 PM

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Hydra009

There's more reistance than I thought.  Kherson farmers kill two occupiers

They'll either drag your tank or your coffin.

Hydra009

Anonymous hacks Russian drone company, obtains russian drone tactics/plans

QuoteThe operative, who previously took down the official website of the Belarus Ministry of Internal Affairs, did not mince words when asked for a message: "Dictator Putin. For the war crimes, you have committed, the innocent people you have killed and the dozens of people you have destroyed, we will not let you alone," Youranonspider said. "We will expose you and the war crimes you have committed. We will share the crimes of your corrupt government," they added.

"We are in the palace where you hide in your house. we are in the streets, on the cameras of lawless government buildings, on the cell phone of the man you trust the most," they said. "We are in the electronic car navigation system. We are Anonymous. We are Legion. We don't forgive. We do not forget. Expect us," the operative said.

Dark Lightning

The enemy of my enemy isn't necessarily my friend, in this case. This is chilling, since they can do it to any country.

Hydra009

Ukraine to receive 110 Sky Wiper anti-drone personal weapons from Lithuania

Afaik, they've been using this before, so this isn't that huge a deal, but getting them in more hands means that Russian drones are more likely to be shot down (especially if you already know where they're likely to be), denying Russia crucial intel.

Hydra009


Hydra009

#755
Ukrainian forces advance closer to Kherson

QuoteWhen it comes to shelling, unlike the enemy, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are so accurate that they actually hit enemy equipment and ammunition, says Hlan, and, in contrast to the Russian military, not random civilian structures.

Hydra009


Hydra009

Putin loses 53rd colonel in 100ish days.

This one worked for the Ministry of Truth.  So state media says that he's fine, he died accidentally in rough seas, and also that he was killed by NATO.

Hydra009

Captain Serhii Ponomarenko awarded Hero of Ukraine

His unit of 6 tanks fought a battle against 20 Russian tanks.  They destroyed 9 and disengaged with no losses.

No wonder russia is dusting off those T-62s, though it's highly unlikley that they'll accomplish what the T-80s and T-72s could not.

Hydra009

#759
Periodic news about Russia reducing outputs of oil pipelines to Europe, which makes no sense to me.  They're actively reducing euros going into their war machine right when they need it the most and dutifully helping anti-Putin activists lobbying their government to reduce/eliminate russian oil imports.

One theory I've heard is that it's so Europe cannot stockpile oil during the summer for the high-demand winter.  Evidently, Russia is going to leverage oil to try to strong-arm Europe into reducing sanctions during the winter when Europe will be in its most dire need of it.

But winter is ~200 days away and the situation in Ukraine has changed dramatically in 100 days.  Can Russia even support the war for that long?

Apparently Putin thinks so, because he put forward the questionable assertion that Europe will continue to buy Russian oil for several years, despite EU countries saying they'll slash Russian oil imports by 90% by the end of the year.

Even if we take Putin's statement (which directly contradicts statements of much more credible leaders of other countries) as gospel, in several years, Europe stops buying Russian oil and Russia's economy tanks hard.  What then?

Hydra009

#760
In temporarily Russian-occupied Ukraine, there have been several more instances of defiance/resistance:

* In Melitopol, farmers poisoned their cherries, so when Russian invaders stole them, there was "mass sickness"

* Also in Melitopol, residents ignored Russia Day, only 15 out of 70,000 Ukrainian citizens stood in line to receive Russian passports

* In Berdyansk, teachers are refusing to teach Russian curricula

* In Mariupol, "unidentified Ukrainian partisans" targetted staffers of Russia's Emergency Ministry.  Outside that ministry's headquarters, several tractors and truck trailers went up in flanes.  Talk about a warm welcome.

* Also in Mariuopol, a Russian Emergency Ministry member was fatally stabbed in the back while standing in a crowd.  Those posters depicting Ukrainian partisans stabbing Russian occupiers from behind aren't far from the truth.

Hydra009

The EU announced that EU companies "will be blocked from insuring and financing the transport of Russian oil to third-party countries after a transitional period of six months."

Essentially, this further complicates and frustrates Russian efforts to recoup lost sales with Europe by doing business with China and India instead, albeit with steep discounts.

QuoteUninsured or underinsured vessels would not be allowed to enter any major port or pass through important shipping choke points such as the Bosporus or the Suez Canal,

Hydra009

Soon there will be no more Coca-Cola in Russia

To understand just how huge this is, understand that as of 2019, there are only two countries where Coca-Cola is not sold - North Korea and Cuba.  That's it.

Dark Lightning

Quote from: Hydra009 on June 16, 2022, 09:13:12 PMSoon there will be no more Coca-Cola in Russia

To understand just how huge this is, understand that as of 2019, there are only two countries where Coca-Cola is not sold - North Korea and Cuba.  That's it.

Fuck Russia with a rusty Coke spoon.

Hydra009

Russian army takes massive losses in eastern Ukraine

QuoteOne of the major issues for the Russian military is a lack of experienced troops. The war has taken a toll on the professional core of the Russian forces.

"As claimed by the Ukrainian authorities, some Russian Battalion Tactical Groups (BTGs) – typically established at around 600 to 800 personnel – have been able to muster as few as 30 soldiers.
30 soldiers is roughly equivalent to a US platoon.  It's two size categories below a batallion.

So basically, calling 30 guys a batallion is like calling 2 guys a football team.  I mean, technically, with some sort of miracle it's possible for them to score some points.  But they definitely ain't gonna win.