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Will Putin Invade Ukraine?

Started by Cassia, January 20, 2022, 01:29:34 PM

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Hydra009

Quote from: ferdmonger on April 25, 2022, 10:41:38 PMSo how about the cruise missiles?  How many does Russia have that function.  10,000? 1200? 56?
I don't know, but Russia's precision-guided stockpile is down to about 30% of the pre-war stockpile, though they can still produce more, albeit slowly.  Every day, the Ukrainians are shooting down quite a few of them, and they seem to be getting better at it.  Plus, many of the Russian missile strikes either go off course or don't detonate (unless they were planning on hitting that livestock pen), which is a bit of a problem.

Hydra009

So, Russian "intelligence" tried to fabricate and then foil an alleged neo-nazi plot in progress in their midst (besides the Z thing) and they arrested a "suspect".

Among his possessions are a book signed "signature unclear" (someone was apparently instructed to pen an illegible signature on the book, but instead literally wrote the words "signature unclear" in the book, fully legible)

Also, 3 copies of the Sims 3 computer game (apparently, the original instructions were "3 Sim cards" but something must have gotten lost in translation)

No wonder Russia lost the information war.

Shiranu

Quote from: Hydra009 on April 26, 2022, 12:07:04 AMSo, Russian "intelligence" tried to fabricate and then foil an alleged neo-nazi plot in progress in their midst (besides the Z thing) and they arrested a "suspect".

Among his possessions are a book signed "signature unclear" (someone was apparently instructed to pen an illegible signature on the book, but instead literally wrote the words "signature unclear" in the book, fully legible)

Also, 3 copies of the Sims 3 computer game (apparently, the original instructions were "3 Sim cards" but something must have gotten lost in translation)

No wonder Russia lost the information war.
Two months ago, and I would have said you've been duped... there is no way a countries government is THAT stupid (besides maybe North Korea).

Now, I don't know if this is a joke and I doubt it is.
"A little science distances you from God, but a lot of science brings you nearer to Him." - Louis Pasteur

drunkenshoe

Quote from: Dark Lightning on April 24, 2022, 08:55:46 AMMy eldest son is currently at Incirlik AFB. He was set to rotate back to the US but is stuck, for now, because of the war.

Sorry to hear that. Adana is a big, mad city. People there are like Texans. Hot headed, cocky. It's very hot, but it has good hot, spicy food like the people and the weather, lol. If he likes it, he has the chance to eat the best kebap of every kind in the world there. (Around all that region.) It's diverse and there are very 'unique' communities in the region. How long has he been there? Does he like it?
"science is not about building a body of known 'facts'. ıt is a method for asking awkward questions and subjecting them to a reality-check, thus avoiding the human tendency to believe whatever makes us feel good." - tp

Hydra009

Quote from: Shiranu on April 26, 2022, 12:22:14 AMTwo months ago, and I would have said you've been duped... there is no way a countries government is THAT stupid (besides maybe North Korea).

Now, I don't know if this is a joke and I doubt it is.

It's very much a real thing

Dark Lightning

Quote from: drunkenshoe on April 26, 2022, 01:17:04 AMSorry to hear that. Adana is a big, mad city. People there are like Texans. Hot headed, cocky. It's very hot, but it has good hot, spicy food like the people and the weather, lol. If he likes it, he has the chance to eat the best kebap of every kind in the world there. (Around all that region.) It's diverse and there are very 'unique' communities in the region. How long has he been there? Does he like it?


Thanks! He was there about 3 months before the war started, and was a week away from going back to the states. I'm pretty sure that the people are restricted to the base, atm. He may not be able to return until the war is over. I'll bet he loves the food. He likes spicy, for sure.

Hydra009



Man, I love their sense of humor!

Hydra009


PopeyesPappy

Quote from: Hydra009 on April 26, 2022, 12:32:37 PM

The string has to be under tension for his comms system to work...
Save a life. Adopt a Greyhound.

Hydra009

#459
Explosions, fire at two oil depots in Russia

Approx 100km from the border with Ukraine, so who knows how they started.  Though I do note that Putin accused the UK of "provoking" Ukraine to strike targets in Russia.  One would think that Russia invading Ukraine was the main thing that provoked them to allegedly strike Russia.  Maybe don't take a swing if you don't wanna get hit.  🤷

There's yet another mysterious fire in Russia, this one at the Ussuriysk airbase to the far east in Russia so there's zero chance Ukraine is involved.  Strange.

Dark Lightning

"Hey, I'm allowed to punch down, you aren't supposed to fight back!" :rolleyes: The danger, of course, is that the people of Russia will rally behind Putin if Ukraine attacks on their soil. It's a losing game.


Shiranu

Quote from: Hydra009 on April 26, 2022, 07:37:39 PMRussian gas imports to Poland halted
Welp, given how much Poland has given up... I think they are hopefully prepared for this in the short term and aren't caught off guard. Now it's up to other, wealthier countries of NATO to start paying up...
"A little science distances you from God, but a lot of science brings you nearer to Him." - Louis Pasteur

ferdmonger

Quote from: Hydra009 on April 26, 2022, 08:43:38 AMIt's very much a real thing

Good grief.  You can actually see fold in the Nazi t-shirt from the freshly unwrapped package.  (Note to Russian agents - at least make the shirt look worn next time.)

Hydra009

Quote from: Shiranu on April 26, 2022, 08:52:14 PMWelp, given how much Poland has given up... I think they are hopefully prepared for this in the short term and aren't caught off guard. Now it's up to other, wealthier countries of NATO to start paying up...

They were one of the first european countries to propose scrapping Russian fossil fuels so I assume they know what they're doing, and they were going to phase out Russian fossil fuels entirely by the end of the year regardless.  This just speeds up the timetable.

This abrupt shift is hard, but imho Russia is making a big mistake in forcing the issue by cutting countries off and expecting them to come crawling back with briefcases full of rubles.  Not gonna happen.  This move just deprives Moscow of funds it desperately needs and otherwise would have gotten for at least a few more months.  (STUPID!)

Getting abruptly cut off hurts Western countries, but not as bad as Russia abruptly not being able to sell to anyone but India and filling existing contracts with China.  Really boneheaded, emotionally-driven stuff that is going to hurt them long-term because now all Western countries anticipate to get cut off at any time at Putin's whim and will seek out other arrangements.

And once the West stops trading with Russia, Russia has ZERO leverage over them.  And it goes without saying that when they stop trading with Russia, it will be a looong time before that trade resumes.