Started by Cassia, January 20, 2022, 01:29:34 PM
Quote from: Cassia on September 16, 2023, 03:42:21 PMI am just guessing, but will Putin have to admit strategy failure and declare general mobilization at some point if he wants to have any chance of winning this war? That might finally get the attention of his people, LOL. I know they have their fake elections soon. Maybe he will do it after that.He has to do it sooner than later because if they keep draining weapons and ammo this option of raising a massive army will do little good in the distant future. I do wonder if they have been withholding some of the better equipment for a massive Soviet-style offensive next Summer.
Quote from: Hydra009 on September 16, 2023, 10:22:09 PMNo, he's not going to mobilize 500,000 or whatever ludicrous number he plans to raise. Russia has more or less already committed its entire military as well as mobilized whatever PMCs and foreign fighters they can possibly entice, as well as trying very hard to mobilize foreign workers, which has got to be a new low.Russian equipment and logistics is already bad and it won't get any better with a bigger host - that'd just exacerbate problems. Those sorts of announcements are just an attempt to demoralize and intimidate dumb people in western countries who naively think that Russia can just absorb skyhigh losses indefinitely and so Ukraine can't possibly win.Instead, Russia is hoping and praying that they can hold on and inflict enough casualties to blunt the Ukrainian advance and make this a frozen conflict. It's not working and nothing is working and they're starting to get very worried and/or fatalistic about it, but committed to keep on keeping on regardless. The real shock will be losing Crimea and the Crimean bridge. That's when the realization that they've lost will likely hit them.
Quote from: Cassia on September 17, 2023, 08:12:35 AMI can't imagine any sort of Russian occupation going very well either. Don't they know that?
QuoteUkrainian forces began counteroffensive operations against Bakhmut almost immediately following Wagner's withdrawal, causing the Russians to maintain VDV forces already there and to deploy additional VDV reinforcements to Bakhmut.
QuoteUkraine's continued counteroffensive actions in Bakhmut since June 2023 have fixed elements of two of Russia's four VDV divisions and three of the VDV's four separate brigades, dramatically reducing the VDV's ability to redeploy more forces laterally to reinforce the southern front.
QuoteUkraine's defensive and counteroffensive operations in the Bakhmut area since summer 2022 are an operationally sound undertaking that has fixed a large amount of Russian combat power that would otherwise have been available to reinforce Russian defenses in southern Ukraine.