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Nimitz Guest
Local time: 3:17 PM
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Posted: Sun Jul 08, 2007 7:12 pm Post subject: Which first, atheist or childless home? |
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www.canada.com EH?
What came first -- the atheist or the childless home?
Gerald Owen, National Post
Published: Friday, July 06, 2007
A chicken-and-egg conundrum is peculiarly appropriate to a question involving fertility. Which came first, the waning of religion in the West or the fall in birth rates?
In the June-July issue of the U.S. magazine Policy Review, Mary Tedeschi Eberstadt, who is best known as the author of a 2005 book called Home-Alone America: The Hidden Toll of Day Care, Behavioral Drugs and Other Parent Substitutes, has come out with an article called "How the West Really Lost God."
Ms. Eberstadt is more cautious in her text than in her title, but she advances the engaging and arresting hypothesis that the decline in fertility is the cause of secularization-- rather than, as often is casually assumed, vice versa.
Certainly, religious couples are apt to have more children than non-believers. No doubt, many people attribute this to the backwardness of believers. Though it's not always clear exactly whom Ms. Eberstadt is disagreeing with, she is in any case right that there is a widespread assumption that loss of the faith is the natural result of enlightenment and progress.
Her article is in part a reply to the wave of books by militant and articulate atheists, especially Richard Dawkins, Daniel Dennett and Christopher Hitchens. It is hard to tell whether this crusade is an expression of rage that religion has failed to die or is a final push for atheist victory, deploying recent discoveries in genetics as if these were as decisive a weapon as the nuclear bomb was in August, 1945. But Ms. Eberstadt seems confident that atheism will not prevail.
Though she is evidently friendly to religion, she attributes less causative power to it than those she opposes. Rather than praising religion for encouraging fertility, she argues that the experience of becoming parents opens up human beings to a richer consciousness of what is beyond themselves, and thus to religious belief.
She is eloquent on this, though one of her literary references contains a howling error: Medea did not unwittingly eat her children in a pie; that was a man called Thyestes, whose brother made the evil pie. Rather, Medea killed her children in full consciousness, when Jason, her husband, married a new wife.
The conclusion Ms. Eberstadt heads toward is that secularization is not inevitable or irreversible, because people will start to lose their taste for childlessness when they see the bereftness of old Baby Boomers in nursing homes. So, with more children, religion will revive.
She may well be right, but there seems to be no reason to suppose that children will once again amount to a solid pension plan, rather than a heavy expense. For that, the belief in long-drawn-out education remains too strong.
The evidence for Ms. Eberstadt's hypothesis is tentative, but she makes out a good prima facie case. One hopes that a quantitative social scientist will pursue it. Though she gives "thanks to demographer Nicholas Eberstadt" -- her husband -- "for illuminating some of the points in this section of the essay," he should be a prime candidate. I expect that historical data on religious practice and participation in organized religion are much less available than the data on birth rates, but a survey of several countries would make possible some conclusions, one way or the other.
As it stands, Ms. Eberstadt considers France, Britain and Ireland, arguing that the decline of birth rates had set in "for some time before secularization as we know it -- loss of religious faith and of such habits as churchgoing."
The sudden modernization of Ireland in the past 35 years or so helps her case considerably, because there are indeed comparative figures on weekly Mass-going, but the brevity of the time-period makes me wonder about what to infer about causation.
"Essentially," Ms. Eberstadt writes, "the Irish stopped having babies and families -- and shortly afterward stopped going to church."
Maybe "at more or less the same time" would be more accurate. If the phenomena are simultaneous, they may share a cause rather than one being the cause of the other.
In the end, the chicken and the egg cause each other, and the real question is what causes life and reproduction in the first place. Similarly, secularism and depopulation are both parts of one package deal, and the persisting riddle remains, Why did modernity cross the road?
gowen@nationalpost.com
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So if your parents didn't have kids you'll grow up to be an atheist!
umm
Maybe I should read the story again...  |
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tonyman1989 Forum Master


Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Posts: 2461 Local time: 1:17 AM Location: I was hoping you could tell me.
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Posted: Sun Jul 08, 2007 7:15 pm Post subject: |
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What the propblem with lower birth rates?
there to many people in the world already. _________________ "If people are good only because they fear punishment, and hope for a reward, then we are a sorry lot indeed." Albert Einstein
"For then we will know the mind of God." Stephen Hawking
"We admit that we are like apes, but we seldom realise that we are apes." Richard Dawkins
http://www.atheistforums.com/weblog.php?w=22 Tonyman1989 blog's - updated on 8/28/07 - An interview of steven weinberg on religion |
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Mr_C Reckoner

Joined: 26 Jun 2006 Posts: 6595 Local time: 10:17 PM Location: Pale Blue Dot

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Posted: Sun Jul 08, 2007 9:07 pm Post subject: |
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| tonyman1989 wrote: | What the propblem with lower birth rates?
there to many people in the world already. |
I'm not sure they were looking at it as a good/bad type of thing; just an interesting phenomenon. |
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caseagainstfaith God's gift to atheism

Joined: 20 Apr 2003 Posts: 3544 Local time: 5:17 AM Location: Houston, TX USA
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Posted: Sun Jul 08, 2007 9:10 pm Post subject: |
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| tonyman1989 wrote: | What the propblem with lower birth rates?
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Well, at least one disadvantage is that the religious tend to have more children, making it harder for secularists to sustain a good percentage of the population. _________________ Please visit my site at www.caseagainstfaith.com featuring critiques of Lee Strobel and other apologetics
Check out my InfidelGuy interviews, tapes 117 and 269 |
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anamoly Recess Monitor

Joined: 16 May 2007 Posts: 682 Local time: 12:17 AM
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Posted: Sun Jul 08, 2007 9:25 pm Post subject: |
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I wanna be the first to say...
OMG We all need to fuck !! Let's get it on!!!
sorry... _________________ I is dsylexic.
__________________________________
Just because I don't put my life story in my signature, doesn't make me uninteresting....I'd like to think I'm mysterious. |
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LOLatChristians Forum Leader

Joined: 09 Mar 2007 Posts: 545 Local time: 12:17 AM
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Posted: Sun Jul 08, 2007 10:14 pm Post subject: |
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| I want to say "correlation is not causation" but I feel it'd be cliche. |
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tonyman1989 Forum Master


Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Posts: 2461 Local time: 1:17 AM Location: I was hoping you could tell me.
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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 1:14 am Post subject: |
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| caseagainstfaith wrote: | | tonyman1989 wrote: | What the propblem with lower birth rates?
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Well, at least one disadvantage is that the religious tend to have more children, making it harder for secularists to sustain a good percentage of the population. |
I think most of the children of the religious are becoming atheist. _________________ "If people are good only because they fear punishment, and hope for a reward, then we are a sorry lot indeed." Albert Einstein
"For then we will know the mind of God." Stephen Hawking
"We admit that we are like apes, but we seldom realise that we are apes." Richard Dawkins
http://www.atheistforums.com/weblog.php?w=22 Tonyman1989 blog's - updated on 8/28/07 - An interview of steven weinberg on religion |
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josephpalazzo Illusion Master

Joined: 30 Aug 2006 Posts: 8036 Local time: 12:17 AM Location: D-brane
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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 7:27 am Post subject: |
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Low birthrate has more to do with urbanization, higher education and women wanting to have careers. Also, high unemployment for people under 30, high housing costs can also play a role.
read this,
read more,
read more. |
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ShaSha Forum Master


Joined: 21 Oct 2003 Posts: 4951 Local time: 11:17 PM Location: Minnesota
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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 9:25 am Post subject: |
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As a woman, a mother and a theist, I had all of my children because I wanted a large family. My religion at the time did play a part in the spacing but not the numbers.
I believe that the numbers of children have gone down because of choice given by both good contraceptives and parents wanting a good material life for themselves and for their children. |
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rock Forum Master


Joined: 09 Aug 2005 Posts: 2005 Local time: 9:17 PM Location: WA

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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 9:44 am Post subject: |
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Contraceptives and the cost of having a kid are, imo, the real big factors.
Maybe one explanation would be.
Smaller families means more likely hood of betterment in education and more importantly a more affluent life style. Thus the rise of more non-religious types. _________________ We got the wall of D.C. to remind us all
That you can't trust freedom
When it's not in your hands
When everybody's fightin'
For their promised lands |
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Sultan Borat Royal Citizen


Joined: 03 Mar 2007 Posts: 307 Local time: 12:17 AM
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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 10:10 am Post subject: |
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| tonyman1989 wrote: | What the propblem with lower birth rates?
there to many people in the world already. |
The issue is , Atheist and secular society is gonna be phased out by Sharia touting zealots who spread like a organism. Whats better a world populated by those who can regulated their birth rate or one where having babies cannot be stopped until god says so.
The anti baby lobby I see only as those who abstain do to lifestyle choice and comfort or age , As far as I am concerned it shouldn't be us alone that controls our birth rates but the rest of the world other wise it accomplishes nothing when they merely move in with their cults and pregers and phase the natives out and spread the same problem to just another part of the world. They way I see it the west should be increasing its birthrate and the rest of world should be dialing theres down its no good if just one people do it accomplishes nothing but delay the inevitable and make one group go extinct that being us. _________________ "If there is a God, atheism must seem to Him as less of an insult than religion." -- Edmond and Jules de Goncourt ~ |
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Sultan Borat Royal Citizen


Joined: 03 Mar 2007 Posts: 307 Local time: 12:17 AM
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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 10:19 am Post subject: |
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| ShaSha wrote: | As a woman, a mother and a theist, I had all of my children because I wanted a large family. My religion at the time did play a part in the spacing but not the numbers.
I believe that the numbers of children have gone down because of choice given by both good contraceptives and parents wanting a good material life for themselves and for their children. |
It is because of our diminishing birthrate that the rest world haisnt dealt their overpopulation issues, They merely saying "go immigrate" how long will that last until the problem emerges over here too. Its a culture of baby farming in Islam and in other places that need to stop. Cutting it down in one area does nothing, Force the world to address issue and not bandage it.
A reason for decline, Women in workforce that women have to choose between family and careers if they where given some kind of protection ensuring that women could return to the workforce without fear of backlash it would help. _________________ "If there is a God, atheism must seem to Him as less of an insult than religion." -- Edmond and Jules de Goncourt ~ |
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Moloth Coin Operated Boy

Joined: 27 Aug 2003 Posts: 23071 Local time: 12:17 AM Location: Warner Robins, GA

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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 11:25 am Post subject: |
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and so, the prophecy in the form of the movie "Idiocracy" begins to unfold...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Idiocracy _________________ -=The Believer is Happy; the Skeptic is Wise=-
www.Moloth.com
Last edited by Moloth on Tue Feb 30, 2026 13:61 am; edited 426 times in total |
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Castaa Forum Master


Joined: 17 Aug 2005 Posts: 2211 Local time: 9:17 PM Location: San Francisco
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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 2:34 pm Post subject: |
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| LOLatChristians wrote: | | I want to say "correlation is not causation" but I feel it'd be cliche. |
That's was my thought was well when reading the article.
In my reading of the article is that it has nothing to do with a secular culture but a modern educated one. It's a byproduct that that education over generations creates people more likely to reject untenable ideas and explanations. A more educated populace delays starting families due the time demands of advanced education and professional careers that follow. Also this same group embraces contraception which leads to a conscious lowing of the length women are actively attempting to reproduce offspring.
It does lead to a theory that undereducated people will breed more uneducated children than the converse of educated folks for the reasons I've outlined above. So one could see this continuing to foster religious ideals. But all these ideas are are caused by the lack of exposure to articulated alternate ideas due to limited educational opportunities due to lower income of their parents.
I'm using broad brush strokes to make this argument but do people here agree with my basic outline? Am I making too strong a causation between religiosity and education? _________________ MY YouTube Videos
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Philosophos Do it

Joined: 01 Mar 2004 Posts: 9289 Local time: 1:17 AM Location: Where Scum Are
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Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2007 2:36 pm Post subject: |
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I'm pretty sure that I do not want any children.
The party celebrating this fact will be held at Moloth's house in one month.  _________________ The whores and politicians will shout 'save us'...
...and I'll whisper 'no'. |
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